Nominal and Real Exchange Rate Co-Movements

Stylized Facts of Nominal Exchange Rate Returns

Real Effective Exchange Rate and Trade Performance in Iran

The Purpose of this paper is to investigate the long-run effect of real effective exchange rate on Iran non-oil trade balance. The methodology is based on ARDL procedure that can be applied irrespective of whether the regressors are I(0) or I(1). The results show the real depreciation has not a favorable long - run effect on the non-oil trade balance of Iran from 1979 to 2001.

Effect of Nominal Exchange Rate Volatility on Output in Iran’s Economy

Volatility of exchange rate while changes from time to time, is expected to affect firm level operations as well as aggregate level outcomes i.e. macroeconomic performance. This paper, investigates the effects of exchange rate volatility on aggregate production in Iran using a Structural Vector Auto Regressive model with Exogenous Variables (SVARX). The model is estimated based on macroeconomic...

The Contribution of Observed and Unobserved Fundamentals to Exchange Rate Movements in Iran

Using a State-space model, this paper investigates the contribution of both observed and unobserved fundamentals to nominal exchange rate movement in Iran for the period 1991:2-2011:4. To this end, we follow Engel and West (2005) and Balke et al. (2013) and use an asset-pricing approach to develop a rational expectations present value exchange rate model. In order to examine the role of fun...

Nonlinearities and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics

We con...rm the presence of substantial non-linearities in real exchange rate dynamics at the sectoral level. There exists zones where arbitrage is not pro...table because of transaction costs, and thus mean reversion is inexistent. We compute the speed of mean reversion of sector speci...c real exchange rates, conditional on the existence of arbitrage as implied by our non-linear estimations, ...